Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 15.063102 17.490101 20.125642 23.192873 26.656670 30.439248 34.874452
2025-09-07 11.192079 14.574062 18.610075 23.744753 30.062753 37.539595 47.010065
2025-09-14 8.909969 12.709028 17.590341 24.237700 32.957402 43.899120 58.544095
2025-09-21 7.074105 10.930215 16.212278 23.833431 34.378067 48.260141 67.685595
2025-09-28 5.671190 9.429185 14.884314 23.171184 35.185524 51.671701 75.632637
2025-10-05 5.193887 9.169224 15.217277 24.790159 39.188793 59.593375 90.126762
2025-10-12 4.730701 8.836005 15.361192 26.087265 42.769208 67.105095 104.481614
2025-10-19 4.146839 8.198642 14.926695 26.406946 44.854760 72.532334 116.116333
2025-10-26 3.632045 7.588778 14.441611 26.557809 46.635903 77.558481 127.392045
2025-11-02 3.120747 6.895795 13.716342 26.208391 47.544601 81.253419 136.805987
2025-11-09 2.664582 6.227094 12.939360 25.665859 48.049996 84.293387 145.314283
2025-11-16 2.269182 5.608682 12.167823 25.032927 48.314785 86.913298 153.242314
2025-11-23 1.849088 4.884250 11.143661 23.913281 47.790469 88.455046 159.968470
2025-11-30 1.652180 4.619897 10.998896 24.448838 50.290188 95.285219 175.924214
2025-12-07 1.477397 4.370855 10.847977 24.949027 52.758022 102.213608 192.451132
2025-12-14 1.255089 3.955182 10.277664 24.533602 53.456666 106.079029 203.958246
2025-12-21 1.049798 3.532949 9.623122 23.854368 53.564181 108.863492 213.705430
2025-12-28 1.018347 3.577858 10.046893 25.514358 58.398631 120.496471 239.653917
2026-01-04 0.967692 3.557115 10.310041 26.844077 62.660230 131.300152 264.636224
2026-01-11 0.868436 3.368971 10.136007 27.171762 64.887389 138.412493 283.270729
2026-01-18 0.772945 3.168636 9.900033 27.326397 66.754389 144.930657 301.116454
2026-01-25 0.668091 2.909472 9.469062 26.968236 67.488775 149.286093 315.128458
2026-02-01 0.570340 2.645935 8.981796 26.412098 67.734502 152.676066 327.459023